Another day, a little more data from the state. The list of larger group living facilities with confirmed cases is now well over fifty—at least one of them is an addiction treatment facility, not a nursing home. The median ages increased slightly again, and the percentage of cases living in single-family homes declined slightly. The overall trend remains more or less linear; it is frustrating to see these weeks of lockdown and relative idleness for so many being largely wasted, so far as building immunity in the less-vulnerable population goes. While at the same time the most vulnerable are starting to get mowed down by the virus.
The day’s tests came back 94% negative again. I’m starting to wonder if they’re testing the wrong people; some medical workers ought to be immune by now, for example. And it would be good to find out what the false negative rate is; I can’t believe that it is zero. If it is very high, they could be missing as many cases in testing as they catch—keeping in mind that false positives are also possible, though I would guess that they are less likely than false negatives here.
A notable mini-trend emerging over the last few days is that daily deaths are up somewhat, which is keeping the ICU demand flat, even as new cases are coming in.
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